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Right arrow Uncertainty Analysis
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Regulatory Modeling for the Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory's Subsurface Disposal Area and Conceptual Model Uncertainty Treatment

Swen Magnuson*

Bechtel BWXT Idaho, LLC, P.O. Box 1625, MS 2107, Idaho Falls, ID 83415


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Fig. 1. Lithologic relationships for the vadose zone beneath the Subsurface Disposal Area (SDA).

 


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Fig. 2. Location of the Big Lost River and spreading areas in relationship to the Subsurface Disposal Area (SDA).

 


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Fig. 3. Horizontal extent of Subsurface Disposal Area (SDA) vadose zone simulation domain.

 


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Fig. 4. Conformable grid for (A) base domain and (B and C) locally refined domains. Surficial sediments are shown in yellow, interbeds in green, and fractured basalt in blue.

 


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Fig. 5. Kriged (A) porosity and (B) permeability for most refined grid for the BC interbed with core sample values posted at their well locations.

 


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Fig. 6. (A) Spatially varying infiltration rates assigned inside the SDA and (B) assignment locations for simulated waste stream source releases.

 


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Fig. 7. Simulated maximum water saturation in the (A) BC interbed and (B) CD interbed immediately before the introduction of the additional spreading area water above the CD interbed.

 


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Fig. 8. Simulated maximum aquifer concentrations with spatially varying and uniform infiltration.

 


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Fig. 9. Simulated maximum aquifer 239Pu concentrations for base and mobile fraction simulations.

 


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Fig. 10. Constitutive relationship curves for three representations of fractured basalt.

 


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Fig. 11. Monitoring results from 1999 for three nested tensiometers in Well 76-5.

 


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Fig. 12. Well construction and simulation grid for Well 76-5.

 


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Fig. 13. Simulated water potentials in response to surface wetting events with three fractured basalt constitutive relationships.

 


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Fig. 14. Simulated flux out bottom of simulation domain with three fractured basalt constitutive relationships.

 





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