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Published in Vadose Zone Journal 3:796-805 (2004)
© 2004 Soil Science Society of America
677 S. Segoe Rd., Madison, WI 53711 USA

SPECIAL SECTION: RESEARCH ADVANCES IN VADOSE ZONE HYDROLOGY THROUGH SIMULATIONS WITH THE TOUGH CODES

A Mountain-Scale Model for Characterizing Unsaturated Flow and Transport in Fractured Tuffs of Yucca Mountain

Yu-Shu Wu*, Guoping Lu, Keni Zhang and G. S. Bodvarsson

Earth Sciences Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, 94720
* Corresponding author (yswu{at}lbl.gov)

Received 26 August 2003.



    ABSTRACT
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MODEL DESCRIPTION
 MODEL CALIBRATIONS
 FLOW PATTERNS AND ANALYSES
 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
 REFERENCES
 
We present a large-scale modeling study characterizing fluid flow and tracer transport in the unsaturated zone (UZ) of Yucca Mountain, Nevada, the proposed underground repository site for storing high-level radioactive waste. The modeling study is conducted using a three-dimensional numerical model, which incorporates a wide variety of field data and takes into account the coupled processes of flow and transport in Yucca Mountain's highly heterogeneous, unsaturated, fractured porous rock. The modeling approach is based on a dual-continuum formulation. Using different conceptual models of unsaturated flow, various scenarios of current and future climate conditions and their effects on the UZ are evaluated to aid in the assessment of the repository's system performance. These models are calibrated against field-measured data. Model-predicted flow and transport processes under current and future climates are discussed.

Abbreviations: CFu, Crater Flat undifferentiated unit • CHn, the Calico Hills nonwelded unit • ESF, Exploratory Studies Facilities • PTn, Paintbrush nonwelded unit • TCw, Tiva Canyon welded hydrogeologic unit • TSw, Topopah Spring welded unit • UZ, unsaturated zone


    INTRODUCTION
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MODEL DESCRIPTION
 MODEL CALIBRATIONS
 FLOW PATTERNS AND ANALYSES
 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
 REFERENCES
 
IN THE PAST TWO DECADES, significant progress has been made in characterizing flow and transport processes in fractured rock of the UZ of the highly heterogeneous, fractured tuff at Yucca Mountain, Nevada, the proposed permanent subsurface repository for storing high-level radioactive waste. Since the 1980s, extensive field studies have been performed, and many types of data have been collected to investigate flow and transport processes. On the basis of these field data, a number of numerical models have been developed for evaluating UZ hydrological conditions. Studies before the 1990s primarily used one- and two-dimensional models for understanding basic flow and transport behavior (Rulon et al., 1986; Tsang and Pruess, 1987). In the 1990s, Wittwer and coworkers (1992)( 1995) began an effort to develop a three-dimensional model that incorporated many geological and hydrological complexities. Ahlers et al. (1995) and Wu et al. (1997) continued the work of developing the site-scale UZ model, but with increased spatial resolution and incorporating more physical processes, such as gas and heat flow. Since then, more comprehensive model calibrations and studies, using mountain-scale numerical models, have been made to investigate fluid flow and radionuclide transport processes within the Yucca Mountain UZ (e.g., Viswanathan et al., 1998; Ahlers et al., 1999; Bandurraga and Bodvarsson, 1999; Wu et al., 1999a, 1999b, 2002a, 2002b; Robinson et al., 2003).

The modeling studies presented here represent our continuing effort in development and application of the mountain-scale UZ flow model (Wu et al., 2003), which is in turn based on the analysis and results of the above-referenced work (as well as many other studies). Building on our previous investigations (Wu et al., 1999a, 1999b, 2002a), we present more comprehensive three-dimensional model calibrations using field-measured pore water Cl data, in addition to moisture and perched water data. Moreover, the model we present here uses both a much more refined grid and special connections between the gridblocks of rock matrix and fractures (at the interfaces between a few selected hydrogeologic units) to represent the UZ system. Specifically, the current repository design, updated field data, and rock properties are incorporated into this model.

The primary objective of this paper is to summarize the features of the current mountain-scale flow and transport model. First, we discuss how the model is calibrated against saturation, water potential, perched water, and Cl data. Second, we analyze flow behavior and patterns in the Yucca Mountain UZ system. As application examples, we use the model to simulate ambient hydrological conditions for use in predicting the system response to future climate conditions. The emphasis is on how to quantify moisture flow through the UZ under present-day and estimated future climate scenarios, and to estimate groundwater travel times from the proposed repository level to the water table.


    MODEL DESCRIPTION
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MODEL DESCRIPTION
 MODEL CALIBRATIONS
 FLOW PATTERNS AND ANALYSES
 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
 REFERENCES
 
Geological Setting and Model Grid
The aerial domain of the mountain-scale UZ flow model encompasses approximately 40 km2 of the Yucca Mountain area (Fig. 1) . As shown in Fig. 2 and 3 , the UZ is between 500 and 700 m thick and overlies a relatively flat water table. Yucca Mountain is a structurally complex geological system of Tertiary volcanic rocks, a heterogeneous environment of layered, anisotropic, fractured tuffs (Scott and Bonk, 1984). The primary geological formations found at Yucca Mountain (from the land surface down), as shown in Fig. 2 and 3, consist of the Tiva Canyon, Yucca Mountain, Pah Canyon, and the Topopah Spring tuffs of the Paintbrush Group. Underlying these units are the Calico Hills Formation and the Prow Pass, Bullfrog, and Tram Tuffs of the Crater Flat Group (Buesch et al., 1995). These geological formations have been reorganized into hydrogeologic units primarily on the basis of the degree of welding (Montazer and Wilson, 1984): the Tiva Canyon welded (TCw) hydrogeologic unit; the Paintbrush nonwelded unit (PTn), consisting primarily of the Yucca Mountain and Pah Canyon members and their bedded tuffs, the Topopah Spring welded (TSw) unit, the Calico Hills nonwelded (CHn) unit, and the Crater Flat undifferentiated (CFu) unit.



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Fig. 1. Plan view of the three-dimensional unsaturated zone flow model grid, showing the model domain, faults incorporated, proposed repository layout, and several borehole locations.

 


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Fig. 2. Vertical view along an east–west cross section (E–W of Fig. 1) of the three-dimensional unsaturated zone flow model grid, showing vertical grid layers, hydrogeological units, faults, proposed repository section, and surface and water table boundaries.

 


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Fig. 3. Vertical view along a north–south cross section (N–S of Fig. 1) of the three-dimensional unsaturated zone flow model grid, showing vertical grid layers, hydrogeological units, faults, proposed repository section, and surface and water table boundaries.

 
The three-dimensional mountain-scale UZ flow model domain, as well as the unstructured numerical grid for this study, is shown in plan view in Fig. 1. The UZ flow model grid is primarily designed for the purpose of model calibrations and investigation of UZ flow behavior. This three-dimensional UZ flow model grid uses a refined mesh in the vicinity of the proposed repository, located near the center of the model domain, covering the region from the Solitario Canyon fault to the Ghost Dance fault from west to east, and from the Pagany Wash fault to Borehole UZ#16 from north to south. Also shown in Fig. 1 are the locations of several boreholes used in model calibrations and analyses. The model domain is selected to focus on the study area of the proposed repository and to investigate the effects of different infiltration scenarios and major faults on moisture flow around and below the proposed repository. In the UZ flow model grid, faults are represented by vertical or inclined 30-m-wide zones (Fig. 2 and 3).

The UZ flow model grid, as shown in Fig. 1, 2, and 3, has 2042 columns (or gridblocks per layer) of both fracture and matrix continua, and averages 59 computational grid layers in the vertical direction, resulting in approximately 250000 gridblocks and 1000000 connections in a dual-permeability grid. This model grid is more refined than those for previous mountain-scale UZ models (e.g., Wu et al., 2002a).

Modeling Approach
Model calibration and simulation results were performed using the TOUGH2 and T2R3D codes (Pruess, 1991; Wu and Pruess, 2000). In these two TOUGH2-family codes, the integral finite-difference scheme is used for spatial discretization, and the time discretization is performed with a backward, first-order, finite-difference scheme. The resulting discrete nonlinear algebraic equations for describing mass (or component) and/or energy conservation are written in a residual form and solved using the Newton–Raphson iteration with an iterative linear solver. At each time step, iteration is continued until convergence is reached for a given time when the residuals at all gridblocks are decreased to a preset convergence tolerance.

In particular, UZ flow simulations in this study were performed using the unsaturated flow module (EOS9) of the TOUGH2 code, which solves Richards' equation. Note that the moisture movement in the current UZ system is approximated at quasi-steady or steady-state condition. Therefore, each flow simulation is run to steady state and steady-state solutions are further confirmed using a global mass-balance check (i.e., total water recharge or inflow from the surface boundary is balanced by outflow out of the model bottom water table boundary). Furthermore, tracer transport and Cl studies were performed under steady-state UZ flow conditions using a decoupled transport module of the T2R3D for modeling advective and dispersive transport processes through fractured tuffs. Steady-state UZ flow fields generated by the flow calculations were used as direct input for transport modeling.

In evaluating fluid flow and transport in unsaturated fractured tuffs, fracture–matrix interactions are generally handled by using a dual-permeability concept. The dual-permeability methodology considers global flow and transport occurring not only between fractures but also between matrix gridblocks. In this approach, the rock-volume domain is represented by two overlapping (yet interacting) fracture and matrix continua, and local fracture–matrix flow and transport are approximated as a quasi-steady state. The traditional dual-permeability concept is modified using an active fracture model (Liu et al., 1998) to represent the fingering effects of flow through fractures and to limit flow into the matrix system. Furthermore, the dual-permeability grid is modified by having additional global fracture–matrix connections at the TCw–PTn and PTn–TSw interfaces and at boundaries of vitric units. Vitric units in CHn are handled as single-porosity matrix. Adding global fracture and matrix connections for these single-porosity matrix blocks provides physical links for possible fracture–matrix flow transitions that may occur across the domain boundaries of single- and dual-continuum media. Therefore, the modeling approach for handling fractured tuffs is actually a physically based, hybrid dual-permeability model, with a combination of dual-continuum and single-porosity meshes for spatial discretization of the UZ model domain.

Boundary Conditions
For the UZ flow model, the ground surface of the mountain (or the tuff–alluvium contact in areas of significant alluvial cover) is taken as the top model boundary; the water table is treated as the bottom model boundary. Both the top and bottom boundaries are treated as Dirichlet-type conditions with specified pressure or saturation values. For flow simulations using the Richards' equation with the EOS9 module, both surface and bottom model boundaries are considered unsaturated, with the bottom boundary at nearly fully saturated conditions. Therefore, only saturation needs to be specified, which is equivalent to fixed pressure conditions along the bottom model boundary. Surface infiltration is applied using a source term in the fracture gridblocks within the second grid layer from the top, because the first layer is assigned as a Dirichlet-type boundary fixed at a constant pressure or saturation to represent average atmospheric conditions at the mountain. All lateral boundaries, as shown in Fig. 1, are treated as no-flow (closed) boundaries. Note that flow in the UZ is predominantly vertical in most hydrogeological units as well as through faults, and thus no-flow conditions at lateral boundaries will provide good approximations. In addition, no-flow boundaries should have little effect on moisture flow and radionuclide transport within or near the repository area (at the center of the model domain as the focus of the current study) because these lateral boundaries are either far away from the repository or separated by vertical faults (Fig. 1, 2, and 3).

Net infiltration from precipitation at the land surface is the major control on overall hydrological and thermal-hydrological conditions within the Yucca Mountain UZ. To cover the various possible scenarios and uncertainties of future climates at Yucca Mountain, we have incorporated a total of nine net infiltration maps into the model, provided by USGS scientists (Hevesi and Flint, 2000). These infiltration maps include three climate scenarios: present-day (modern), monsoon, and glacial transition, each of which consists of lower-bound, mean, and upper-bound rates. This results in the nine infiltration rates, as summarized in Table 1, which shows average net recharge values over the model domain.


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Table 1. Infiltration rates averaged over the model domain and simulation scenarios of base cases and alternatives.{dagger}

 
As shown in Table 1, the average rate for the present-day, mean infiltration over the UZ flow model domain is 4.4 mm yr–1, which is considered as the base case scenario. The use of the lower- and upper-bound infiltration values is intended to cover the uncertainties (associated with the infiltration models). The two climate scenarios, the monsoon and glacial transition periods, are used to account for possible higher precipitation and infiltration conditions in the future at Yucca Mountain. Note that the glacial transition period has higher infiltration rates than its corresponding present-day and monsoon periods, except for the lower-bound infiltration case of the monsoon period. In this paper, both present-day and future infiltration scenarios are considered to be constant in simulation times, and no transient effects are taken into account. Table 1 also shows that each of the nine infiltration maps corresponds to two simulation scenarios, one called "base case" and the other "alternative." The difference between the base case and alternative case is in the use of different rock properties for the PTn unit, as discussed below.

A plan view of the spatial distribution of the present-day mean infiltration maps, as interpolated onto the UZ flow model grid, is shown in Fig. 4 . The figure shows patterns of flux distributions with higher infiltration rates in the northern part of the model domain and along the mountain ridge east of the Solitario Canyon fault from south to north.



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Fig. 4. Plan view of net infiltration distributed over the three-dimensional unsaturated zone flow model grid for the base case, or present-day, mean infiltration scenario.

 
Model Parameters
With the dual-continuum modeling approaches used in this modeling study, two sets of properties (such as relative permeability and capillary pressure curves), along with other intrinsic properties (such as porosity, permeability, density, fracture geometric parameters, and transport properties), are needed for the two media of the fracture and matrix systems. In our modeling study, the van Genuchten model of relative permeability and capillary pressure functions (van Genuchten, 1980) are adopted to describe variably saturated flow in both the fracture and matrix continua. Therefore, the basic rock and flow parameters used for each model layer or subunit include (i) fracture properties (frequency, spacing, porosity, permeability, van Genuchten {alpha} and m parameters, residual saturation, and fracture-matrix interface area); (ii) matrix properties (porosity, permeability, the van Genuchten {alpha} and m parameters, and residual saturation); (iii) transport properties (grain density, diffusion, adsorption, and tortuosity coefficients); and (iv) fault properties (porosity, matrix and fracture permeabilities, active fracture–matrix interface area) for each of the major hydrogeologic units.

Initial guesses of the input parameters for rock and flow properties of each model layer, as well as for fault-fracture properties, are taken from parameters that are either measured or estimated using a one-dimensional inversion modeling approach (Liu et al. 2003a, 2003b). Then, one-dimensional model-estimated properties are calibrated and modified through a series of three-dimensional model calibrations, using field-measured moisture content, perched water, and Cl data (Wu et al., 2003).


    MODEL CALIBRATIONS
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MODEL DESCRIPTION
 MODEL CALIBRATIONS
 FLOW PATTERNS AND ANALYSES
 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
 REFERENCES
 
Model calibration has been a critical step in developing the mountain-scale UZ flow model of Yucca Mountain as an important, iterative process of model development and verification. Past modeling experiences (e.g., Wu et al., 1999a, 1999b, 2002a, 2002b) have shown that we cannot simply take field- and laboratory-measured parameters or one-dimensional model-estimated properties as direct input to three-dimensional models and expect reasonable simulation results. This is because of the many uncertainties and significant differences in those input parameters with respect to their spatial and temporal scales of measurements. Without further calibration, those parameters observed or determined on one spatial scale are in general inappropriate for use in different scale models.

Calibrations of the mountain-scale UZ flow model rely on field-measured matrix–liquid saturation, water potential, perched water, and Cl data to adjust three-dimensional model parameters through a series of three-dimensional model calibrations (Wu et al., 2003). The calibrated parameters include fracture–matrix properties of the TSw layers, the PTn unit, and perched water zones.

The three-dimensional flow model calibration (Wu et al., 2003) presents three sets of parameters, corresponding to the low, mean, and upper bounds of present-day infiltration rates. Specifically, the three sets of parameters calibrated by the three-dimensional model (Wu et al., 2003) are used in this work as base case (Case A) model input parameters, while the three sets of the one-dimensional model calibrated properties (Liu et al., 2003a) are employed as alternative parameter sets (or Case B) for comparison and sensitivity analyses. The difference between the three base case (Case A) and three alternative (Case B) parameter sets is in PTn properties only, of which the base case has a narrower range of permeability values than that of the alternative case. The classification of base case and alternative parameters is based on model calibration results because base case input parameters provide a match to field data that is better overall (Wu et al., 2003) than those obtained using the alternative sets.

Comparisons with Saturation, Water Potential, and Perched Water Data
Measured matrix liquid saturation, water potential data, and perched water elevations from all sampling boreholes have been compared with three-dimensional model results. This has resulted in model-parameter adjustments in several TSw model layers and perched water zones. Simulated and observed matrix liquid saturations and water potentials along the vertical column for Borehole SD-12 are compared in Fig. 5 and 6 , respectively, for the three present-day infiltration rates. In general, the modeled results from all simulations after calibration are in reasonable agreement with the measured saturation and water potential profiles, as well as perched water levels.



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Fig. 5. Comparison of simulated and observed matrix liquid saturations and perched water elevations for Borehole SD-12, using the results of the simulations for base case present-day infiltration of mean, lower, and upper bounds.

 


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Fig. 6. Comparison to simulated and observed water potentials and perched water elevations for Borehole SD-12, using the results of the simulations for base case present-day infiltration of mean, lower, and upper bounds.

 
Comparison with Chloride Data
Estimating percolation flux is one of the main objectives of the UZ modeling studies. Water percolation and infiltration history may be revealed by study of chemically based natural tracers observed in the UZ (Liu et al., 2003c). Among those commonly used natural tracers, Cl is ideal for study of UZ percolation behavior and patterns. This is because Cl is very closely associated with past and current water movement and at the same time is chemically inert. Therefore, we used Cl data measured from an underground tunnel, the Exploratory Studies Facilities (ESF) (Fabryka-Martin et al., 2002), and from Borehole SD-9 to examine UZ percolation behavior.

In our study, Cl transport analyses were performed using the same three-dimensional UZ flow model grid (Fig. 1) and the same dual-continuum modeling approach for handling fracture–matrix interaction. The Cl transport simulations were performed using the T2R3D code with spatially varying Cl recharge on the surface and run for 100000 yr to approximate the current, steady-state conditions under the infiltration scenarios considered. Chloride is treated as a conservative component transported through the UZ, subject to advection and diffusion processes. Note that the T2R3D code is designed to simulate radionuclide transport processes in porous or fractured media, with full incorporation of the three-dimensional hydrodynamic dispersion tensor on irregular three-dimensional integral-finite difference grids (Wu and Pruess, 2000). In this study, however, the mechanical dispersion effect through the fracture–matrix system is ignored because sensitivity studies have indicated that mechanical dispersion has an insignificant effect (Wu et al., 2002a). A constant molecular diffusion coefficient of 2.032 x 10–9 m2 s–1 was used for Cl.

Six present-day, steady-state UZ flow fields, preq_lA, preq_lB, preq_mA, preq_mB, preq_uA, and preq_uB of Table 1, are incorporated within the transport modeling, i.e., each of the three present-day infiltration scenarios is associated with either one of two sets (base case and alternative parameters) of the PTn properties. Six Cl transport simulation results, using the two PTn parameter sets under the three present-day infiltration scenarios, are compared with measured Cl data. Pore water Cl concentrations simulated with the six different flow scenarios and their comparisons with measurements are plotted in Fig. 7 and 8 . Figure 7 shows the difference between measurements and three-dimensional model simulated results along the ESF, while Fig. 8 presents the differences for Borehole SD-9.



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Fig. 7. Comparison of simulated and observed Cl concentration profiles along the ESF for present infiltration with mean, upper, and lower bounds with six flow fields (preq_uA, preq_mA, preq_lA, preq_uB, preq_mB, and preq_lB).

 


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Fig. 8. Comparison between measured and simulated Cl concentration profiles at Borehole SD-9 for present infiltration with mean, upper, and lower bounds with six flow fields (preq_uA, preq_mA, preq_lA, preq_uB, preq_mB, and preq_lB).

 
Figure 7 indicates that measured Cl data along the ESF are clustered around three areas with distances of about 1000, 3600, and 6600 to 7500 m from the northern portal of the tunnel. As shown in Fig. 7, the two simulation results with the present-day, lower-bound infiltration (preq_lA and preq_lB) cannot in general match the observed results. For the first two locations, at 1000 and 3600 m, the simulated results from the two PTn conceptual models and the mean and upper-bound infiltration are all in good agreement with the measurements. However, for the last portion from 6600 to 75000 m, the simulations with the base case models (preq_mA or preq_uA) are in slightly better agreement with the measured Cl concentrations. A similar comparison is also shown in Fig. 8 at Borehole SD-9, and the base case model results with preq_mA or preq_uA provide the best matches.

In addition to comparisons made with ESF and Borehole SD-9 data, more comparative studies of Cl distributions, using data from other boreholes and tunnels within the UZ, have been conducted for analyzing simulation results using the base-case and alternative model parameters (Wu et al., 2003). These studies consistently indicate that simulation results using the base case flow fields with the present-day, mean infiltration provide an overall better match with the observed Cl data than the alternative model results. This is because the base case flow fields in general predict relatively large lateral diversion (Wu et al., 2002b). Note that, as discussed above in the Model Calibration section, the only difference between the base case and alternative flow fields is the use of different PTn properties, with the base case having generally less variable permeability among the PTn layers than the alternative case. The comparison of model results and measured Cl data (Fig. 7 and 8) shows that the simulation results with the base-case flow fields are in overall better agreement with the measurements than those from the alternative flow fields with smaller lateral flow. This indicates that large lateral diversion may occur in percolation fluxes throughout the PTn unit, which has a direct impact on Cl transport and distributions. In addition, these results also indicate that surface infiltration should be higher than the present-day, lower-bound scenario, since simulation results with low infiltration rates cannot in general match observation results.


    FLOW PATTERNS AND ANALYSES
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MODEL DESCRIPTION
 MODEL CALIBRATIONS
 FLOW PATTERNS AND ANALYSES
 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
 REFERENCES
 
A total of 18 steady-state flow simulation scenarios were studied in this work, as listed in Table 1, with 9 base cases and 9 alternatives. The difference between the base case and alternative scenarios is the implementation of different PTn properties, that is, using two different PTn conceptual models (Wu et al., 2003). The objectives of investigating 18 three-dimensional flow scenarios was to cover various uncertainties and possibilities for UZ flow patterns under current and future climates, as well as different conceptual models. Percolation flux through the UZ is considered one of the most critical factors affecting potential repository performance because of its direct impact on radionuclide mobilization from repository drifts. Furthermore, because percolation fluxes of unsaturated flow cannot be readily measured in the field, they have to be estimated using flow models.

Percolation Flux at the Repository
Figure 9 shows an example of percolation fluxes simulated at the repository level for the present-day climate. In this analysis, the percolation flux is defined as total vertical liquid mass flux through both fractures and matrix and is converted to millimeters per year using a constant water density. Comparisons of the calculated repository percolation fluxes with those of the surface infiltration maps (e.g., Fig. 9 vs. Fig. 4) indicate that percolation fluxes at the repository are very different from surface infiltration patterns. The major differences in percolation flux at the repository level (Fig. 9) from the surface infiltration (Fig. 4) are twofold. First, significant flow is diverted into or near faults. Second, there is a 500-m eastward movement of the high infiltration zones (denoted by dark "green" areas) on the surface and repository horizon in the center of the model domain without faults (Fig. 4 vs. Fig. 9). This indicates significant eastward lateral flow occurrence when traveling from surface to repository level. Note also that surface infiltration rates and distributions, as shown in Fig. 4, are independent of faults. Moreover, flow redistribution in the very northern part of the model domain (far beyond the repository block) results from the local low-permeability CHn zeolitic and perched water zones, which have higher elevations in the north and intersect the repository horizon grid layer. Therefore, major flow paths develop along the faults in the very northern part of the model domain.



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Fig. 9. Simulated percolation fluxes at the proposed repository horizon for base case present-day, mean infiltration using the results of simulation preq_mA.

 
Overall, simulated percolation fluxes from the base case model results, as shown in Fig. 9, display very different patterns from the surface infiltration maps, whereas the alternative model results show relatively small differences (Wu et al., 2003). This indicates that with the base case model simulation results, more large-scale lateral flow occurs when the percolation flux crosses the PTn unit.

Flux Frequency Distribution
Percolation fluxes within the repository footprint can be further analyzed using a frequency distribution plot. This plot displays the average area percentage of the repository region subject to a particular percolation rate. Note that the normalized flux rates are determined by normalizing an infiltration value with respect to the average infiltration rate for the scenario. For example, 1 for the normalized flux rate corresponds to 4.4, 11.8, and 17.0 mm yr–1 (Table 1), respectively, for the three mean infiltration scenarios. Figure 10 indicates that the highest flux frequencies have a normalized flux of about 0.5 or less and occur over about 50% of the repository area. The area with normalized percolation fluxes >5 comprises <1% of the total repository area. In general, modeling results for all of the 18 flow fields show that the percolation flux value with highest areal distribution frequencies is always lower than the average values of the corresponding infiltration rates.



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Fig. 10. Areal distribution frequency of simulated base case percolation fluxes within the proposed repository domain, normalized to the three mean infiltration rates: present day, monsoon, and glacial transition.

 
Flux frequency distributions, as shown in Fig. 10, provide probability functions for occurrence of a particular range of percolation fluxes at the repository level with each UZ flow field. This information can be used as the ambient flux boundary conditions for drift-scale and seepage models of flow simulations at repository drifts (Bodvarsson et al., 2003).

Groundwater Travel Times
Tracer-transport simulation results can also provide insight into flow patterns for groundwater travel or radionuclide-transport times below the repository. Groundwater travel or radionuclide-transport times are here estimated by conservative (nonsorbing) and reactive (sorbing), nondecaying tracer simulations, in which tracers are tracked after release from the repository fractures and transported to the water table. Similarly to the modeling studies of Cl transport described above, simulation results and analyses of groundwater travel times are based on transport modeling of conservative and reactive tracers using the T2R3D code and the UZ flow model grid of Fig. 1. The total of 18 steady-state, three-dimensional flow fields of the base case infiltration scenarios (Table 1) are directly input to the T2R3D code for modeling transport of the conservative and reactive tracers from the repository to the water table, resulting in a total of 36 simulation scenarios.

In transport modeling, an initial, constant-source concentration, specified for the fracture continuum gridblocks representing the repository (Fig. 1), was released at the starting time of the simulation. In selecting transport properties, mechanical dispersion through the fracture–matrix system was ignored for the same reason discussed in the previous section regarding Cl transport. In addition, molecular diffusion coefficients and Kd values were chosen to represent two radionuclides, Tc and Np, respectively (Wu et al., 2002a).

Tracer and radionuclide transport times (since release from the proposed repository, through the CHn, to the water table) may be analyzed using statistics of 50% mass breakthrough times for tracer or radionuclide at the water table. Figure 11 correlates average infiltration rates and for tracer or radionuclide transport times at 50% mass breakthrough for the 36 simulation scenarios of tracer release into fractures at the repository. The statistical data of Fig. 11 show the following:



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Fig. 11. Correlation of average infiltration rates and base case groundwater travel or tracer transport times at 50% mass breakthrough for the 36 simulation scenarios for Tc and Np.

 

    SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MODEL DESCRIPTION
 MODEL CALIBRATIONS
 FLOW PATTERNS AND ANALYSES
 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
 REFERENCES
 
We presented an updated three-dimensional mountain-scale UZ flow model developed for characterizing fluid flow and tracer or radionuclide transport in the UZ of Yucca Mountain. As a continuing effort, the UZ flow model has been calibrated using available data measured at the site, including field-measured saturation, water potential, perched water, and pore water Cl data. These model-calibration efforts enable us to conclude that the model can be used to estimate the current ambient moisture conditions in the Yucca Mountain UZ system, such as matrix liquid saturation, water potential, and perched water occurrence.

The model results indicate that percolation patterns at the repository horizon are very different from surface infiltration fluxes. These differences are caused by lateral flow or diversion and flow focusing into faults, which occur as water travels through the PTn unit. The modeling analysis using field measured Cl data reveals the occurrence of large-scale lateral flow within the PTn unit. In addition, tracer-transport studies indicate that there exists a wide range of simulated groundwater travel or tracer-transport times from the repository to the water table, associated mainly with different infiltration rates and modeling scenarios. Sensitivity analyses indicate that surface infiltration rates and adsorption effects in the CHn unit are the most important factors for determining tracer-transport times.


    ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
 
We would like to thank Guoxiang Zhang and Dan Hawkes for their review of this paper. We would also like to thank the associate editor and the two anonymous reviewers for their critical, insightful, and constructive comments and suggestions for improving the manuscript. In addition, we are grateful to Lehua Pan, H.H. Liu, and Diana Swantek for their help to this work. This work was in part supported by the Director, Office of Civilian Radioactive Waste Management, U.S. Department of Energy, through Memorandum Purchase Order EA9013MC5X between Bechtel SAIC Company, LLC and the Ernest Orlando Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (Berkeley Lab.). The support is provided to Berkeley Lab. through the U.S. Department of Energy Contract no. DE-AC03-76SF00098.


    REFERENCES
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MODEL DESCRIPTION
 MODEL CALIBRATIONS
 FLOW PATTERNS AND ANALYSES
 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
 REFERENCES
 




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